Showing posts with label Stocks and shares. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stocks and shares. Show all posts

3/13/2010

Review of Streetsmart Guide to Valuing A Stock: The Savvy Investor's Key to Beating the Market (Hardcover)

The methodology doesn't cover some industries (financial, insurance etc) but for the majority of companies this will come up with an intrisic value (not book value) of the future earnings discounted over time for inflation, risk etc. I made a spreadsheet that does the methodolgy the book teaches,but the author has one for sale. I wish I had the spreadsheet beforereading it, as I had to reread sections to gain a good understanding afterI had the spreadsheet. It allows you to follow along his examples and"see" the numbers and forecasts effect the valution. I will emailmy version to any interested parties. No instructions, bare bones, butworks. You wont understand it without the book.



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2/19/2010

Review of Stock Investing for Everyone: Tools for Investing Like the Pros (Hardcover)

This is a great first book in stocks. Before reading this book I didn't know what questions to ask or where to begin investing in the stock market. I especially like thisbook's ground up approach
1) providing motivation to invest
2) defining stock jargon
3) introducing professional tools and resources

The rest of the book introduces investing strategy, stock analysis, economic trends, and many many other details. I like how the author doesn't seem to be pushing an agenda, but just introducing the tools to be used by both aggressive and conservative investors.



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2/18/2010

Review of Valuation of Fixed Income Securities and Derivatives, 3rd Edition (Hardcover)

This book is a good introduction to valuation and should be used in conjunction with other books in fixed income.The book references more complex topics that may be explored further in more advanced books.However, the book does a good job of stripping topics to the basic concepts.



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1/07/2010

Review of All Your Worth: The Ultimate Lifetime Money Plan (Hardcover)

"All Your Worth: The Ultimate Lifetime Money Plan," written by the bestselling authors of "The Two-Income Trap," is a solid book about the basics of financial planning.

The authors tell us there are many good financial planning books on the market, if you already have a great deal of money and are looking to make more, but there are few books written for the majority of Americans who are struggling financially and who worry about money.

"All Your Worth: The Ultimate Lifetime Money Plan" helps average people get their finances in order. Harvard law professor and consumer advocate Elizabeth Warren is America's leading expert about the causes of personal bankruptcy in America.

Warren and Tyagi suggest that individuals must get their expenses into balance with their income. In particular, the authors say we should spend no more than 50% of our income on "Must Haves" or expenses that must be paid no matter what (rent or mortgage, utility bills, health insurance, property taxes, etc.). Then, 30% of our income can be spent on our "Wants" (for example, cable TV, tattoos or, actually, anything you want). The remaining 20% of our income should be saved toward building your financial future. The savings become automatic, if you get your must-haves and wants in balance.

The authors point out that historically Americans only spent about 50% of their income on "Must Haves." But, today, there is a trend for Americans to commit more and more of their income to expenses that must be paid, no matter what.

If your "Must Haves" are over 65% of your income, the authors write: "Even the smallest hiccup can seem like a major disaster because there is no extra money to handle anything that goes wrong.... You need to get your Must-Have spending under control immediately."

To get your money in balance, Warren and Tyagi say you can't worry about saving a little bit here and a little bit there. Rather, look at your bigger expenses and find ways to save there. "Count the dollars, Not the pennies," they counsel.

For example, drive a less expensive car. They write: "Buy used...Drive it until it falls apart, and then keep driving it. Drive your car until the odometer flips. Drive it until you're on a first-name basis with your local mechanic. Drive it until you embarrass your kids. And then drive it some more. And laugh all the way to the bank."

The authors show us how to reduce insurance costs, mortgage costs, and other big-expense items. We learn that many people overpay for insurance and mortgages.

We also learn that, due to changes in legislation, it's easier for people to get into financial trouble today, than it was in the past. Years ago, when lenders could only charge reasonable interest rates, lenders needed to be sure people weren't taking on more debt than they could handle. So, if a person couldn't really afford a bigger home, they wouldn't receive a mortgage for it.

But, today, people who struggle to repay their debts are often the most profitable area of lending. This allows the lender to charge high interest rates and hefty fees.

The authors write: "The truth is, debt peddlers don't want you to think about what happens when something goes wrong... . Their only goal is to sneak that monster [debt] into your living room, in the quiet hope that something will go wrong in your life and they can make the big bucks. ...That's right: Your credit card company wants something to go wrong in your life. Why? Because that's when they make the most money! That's when the interest piles on, the late fees and over-the-limit charges balloon, and the bank racks up big profits from your troubles."

So, today, consumers need to learn to limit their own spending. The authors write: "...practice saying something we've heard rich people say a thousand times: 'I can't afford that.' ... Say it with anger. Put some real heart into it-loud and furious. Now say it with resentment. Fill your voice with bitterness and envy. ... Say it with pain. Say it with disappointment. Say it with self-pity. ...The best one: Say it with good cheer. Laugh out loud about it."

"All Your Worth: The Ultimate Lifetime Money Plan" is a great book for people who want to get their finances into balance and avoid financial disaster.




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1/01/2010

Review of The Streetsmart Guide to Overlooked Stocks : A Guide to Investing in the Best Overlooked Stocks for Superior Returns [ILLUSTRATED] (Hardcover)

Too many times, mutual fund managers, brokers, and financial advisors recommend only the large-cap stocks which are widely known by the investment community. The author states that investors can benefit from holding overlooked stocks because they provide better potential returns. Good overlooked companies are well-managed firms in the earlier stages of a corporate life cycle compared to large capitalization companies. These smaller companies usually have the ability to react more quickly to customer needs and market changes because they have flatter management organizations. In addition, they usually have more insider ownership, thus aligning management's interests with shareholders. Finally, they are not as closely followed by Wall Street.

This book teaches readers how to find and evaluate these small treasures. I highly recommend this book to investors.

- Mariusz Skonieczny, author of Why Are We So Clueless about the Stock Market? Learn how to invest your money, how to pick stocks, and how to make money in the stock market



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12/15/2009

Review of Small-Cap Dynamics: Insights, Analysis, and Models (Hardcover)

For the individual investor, I would give this book a single star.I should have seen the warning signs ... "Bloomberg Professional Library" and the author's "views are widely quoted in the financial press." Brokers may find thisvolume useful in providing market timing and trading strategies that their customers are expecting.

The author targets only subjective and qualitative "insights", with very little data and no statistical analysis. If the author's job title of "quantitative strategist" is to be taken seriously, we would expect some supporting evidence (ie returns data) that the strategies produce results. Show us the yachts.

If you are looking for a quantatative discussion of analysis and models, look elsewhere. Insights in this book impress me as purest hand-waving, and the text is loaded with equivocation, suggestion and speculation.



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11/22/2009

Review of Are You a Stock or a Bond?: Create Your Own Pension Plan for a Secure Financial Future (Hardcover)

Wealth Odyssey: The Essential Road Map For Your Financial Journey Where Is It You Are Really Trying To Go With Money?


Dr Milevsky does an excellent job discussing the dual uncertainties of retirement planning: uncertainty of longevity, and uncertainty of portfolio duration. Both deal with trying to determine how long you or your money may last, while recognizing that both time periods need to overlap - in fact one might argue that the portfolio time period needs to be nanoseconds (ideally with perfect knowledge) longer than your longevity. The human capital approach is excellent since it relates the long term economic value of a person's labor, as a total dollar value; to the total dollar value that person needs to sustain their living standard throughout retirement.

There is controversy in the profession concerning the allocation of assets considering the nature of a person's source and nature of their income along with those assets. However, putting concepts out there for discussion is how incremental improvements occur. Another controversial approach has been forwarded in Spend 'Til the End: The Revolutionary Guide to Raising Your Living Standard--Today and When You Retire by Laurence J. Kotlikoff and Scott Burns. Their approach is to smooth your spending over your entire lifetime. Dr Milevsky's approach is to determine how to sustain it. The theme of both works is how to evaluate your standard of living and then how to sustain it in the long run.

Dr Milevsky's formula and excel use if very useful for most people. In practice though, most people would have a hard time determining an expected return and standard deviation for their portfolio especially considering this is a value they expect for the rest of their life. Median remaining lifespan (MRL) also means there's a 50/50 chance of living beyond the period evaluated. A person would reduce the chance of outliving their assets if they used a lifespan factor than had a lesser chance of being outlived. He acknowledges the fact that the older you get, the older you are likely to get in Chapter 7. However, he does not provide the mathematical means in his discussion (even as an appendix) to adjust for this factor should one want to plan more conservatively. One may argue that you would adjust the MRL as you age. However, that would mean that a person is overspending early and would need to retrench their spending as they age, because they would need to stretch the spending farther than what the plan called for originally - once retired there is no replenishment of assets that are already spent.

His book The Calculus of Retirement Income: Financial Models for Pension Annuities and Life Insurance goes into greater detail about the calculus that supports this book.

A final note: the use of variable annuities with their riders is, as yet, untested as to whether the companies selling them can withstand the test of time for both markets and demographic forces. Demographic changes are an important consideration since variable annuity riders are structured where people need to pay in more for the benefits than the benefits that are paid out (the theme sounds much like the Social Security or the pension phenomena he describes in his introduction).

Putting the nit noy of these aside, this is an excellent primer for most people about the issues they face for retirement. Using the concepts here will do more good than harm for most do it yourselfers.



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11/17/2009

Review of The Stock Market Course (Hardcover)

Great idea for a book, but poor execution. The idea is to introduce novices to the stock market and teach them all the fundamentals. But this book is so poorly organized and biased that novices will be only confused, and more knowledgeable investors disappointed. The authors are the sponsors of a web service for options traders, and they never fail to recommend their service. The book is biased toward options trading, technical analysis, momentum trading, and chart analysis: not strategies for beginners.

The organization is extremely confusing, seemingly random, and with lots of repetition. For example, the chapter on option trading comes before the chapters on market analysis. At the end of each chapter there is a summary of the main points of the chapter; great idea, but the only problem is that the chapter summaries do not accurately reflect the chapter contents. For example, the chapter summary for "fundamental analysis" lists the PEG ratio as a key point of the chapter, but the chapter doesn't even mention the PEG ratio! PEG ratio isn't mentioned until a later chapter on "analyzing company reports." In that chapter(p. 237-8), the authors suggest that a P/E ratio of 143(!) is quite acceptable for a growth stock (EMC corp) and that a stock with such a P/E would make a good investment!! EMC Corp. fell from $101 in 2000 to $4 in 2002. It's trading now around $10, with a P/E of 21 (July 2006). On a similar note, Enron is described as a "green" or environmentally friendly stock.

Even worse, the book presents no coherent program for investing in stocks, just a bunch of random, often contradictory advice. It turns out that all the indicators for avoiding a stock are also good indicators for buying the stock if you are a "contrarian" investor. Hardly a coherent trading program for novices.



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8/29/2009

Review of Investing Smart: How to Pick Winning Stocks with Investor's Business Daily (Paperback)

Being a student of William O'Neil's CANSLIM method of stock selection I found this book tiresome to read mainly because I know the subject matter so well.Dr. Sethna was certainly long winded and rambling in his writing style and could have said what he did in a third of the space he used.If you desire to learn about William O'Neil's methods purchase his book, "How to Make Money In Stocks."Lastly, Investor's Business Daily has added many new features since Dr. Sethna wrote this book so some of the information he shares about the paper is dated.

Product Description
Using Investor's Business Daily as his major source of investment information, Dhun Sethna tripled his portfolio in five years. In Investing Smart, Sethna shares what he's learned about picking stocks with the nation's fastest growing newspaper, unlocking the powerful money=making information in every edition.

You'll discover where to look for winning stocks every day. . .which indicators to watch to avoid losses. . .the psychology of market behavior. . .and much more. The book delivers straightforward explanations of the complex and powerful forces which drive stock prices. All in all, it gives you the tools you need to invest wisely.

From the Back Cover
Unlock the money-making power of Investor's Business Daily today!

"Investing Smart is a book about doing and discovery, about discovering the thousands of newer companies with revolutionary new ideas and new technologies, and innovative new products, that make up what I like to call "The New America." After all, it is the discovery of these winning (companies) and their trends that smart investing is all about."­­From the Foreword by Willian J. O' Neill, Chairman and Founder of Investor's Business Daily

This book is the definitive must read for all investors looking to substantailly increase their portfolio results. In it, investors will learn the investing secrets used by many of today's most successful investors and money managers to achieve unparalleled results.

Investing Smart unearths the money-making opportunities found throughout Investor's Business Daily's exclusive tables, charts and screens. In this easy-to-understand presentation, you'll gain profitable insight into the nature of markets, the psychology of trading, and commonsense ground rules for making the right investment decisions­­at the right time.

You'll discover:

  • The best sources for identifying emerging stock market leaders
  • How and when to buy or sell stocks
  • How to manage any portfolio­­large or small
  • The best way to interpret the economy's vital signs
  • The psychology of market behavior­­and much more




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