Click Here to see more reviews about: Corporate Crooks: How Rogue Executives Ripped Off Americans... and Congress Helped Them Do It! (Hardcover)
Showing posts with label Financial crises and disasters. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Financial crises and disasters. Show all posts
3/09/2010
Review of Corporate Crooks: How Rogue Executives Ripped Off Americans... and Congress Helped Them Do It! (Hardcover)
Click Here to see more reviews about: Corporate Crooks: How Rogue Executives Ripped Off Americans... and Congress Helped Them Do It! (Hardcover)
11/02/2009
Review of The Cul-de-Sac Syndrome: Turning Around the Unsustainable American Dream (Hardcover)
Yet there is another narrative to tell.It would begin by noting that in 2007 and 2008 combined there were a total of around 3 mln home foreclosures.The average mortgage in the US is for $210k.In average foreclosure, banks recoup 75% of the mortgage.This is worse than average, so say banks recoup 50% and lose 50%.A loss of 50% on 3 mln mortgages is $315 bln.A serious loss, but not the trillions of dollarsof the losses Wasik documents.
The losses derive from another source: leverage.When Bear Stearns funds were hit at the start of the crisis, they experienced about a 5% draw down in asset value.What made it an existential issue was the 34:1 leverage they employed.
By focusing exclusively on the US, Wasik may be missing the forest for the sake of the trees.Other countries had more leveraged households and larger increase in house prices. Most other major industrialized countries in Europe as well has Japan have experienced deeper contractions than the US.
Europe and Japan had different regulatory regimes than the US.Nor did they accept the American dream that is at the center of Wasik's narrative.Yet their financial woes and economic crisis is just as severe as the US and many European banks reportedly were more leveraged than large US bnaks.
Wasik grapples with America's pursuit of property. His arguments would be more persuasive if he would have come to grips with American historians, like Frederick Jackson Turner and the American frontier thesis.
Productive property was embraced as the source of independence and freedom.A land of small property owners--yeomen--was the Jeffersonian dream.The concentration of wealth and property in the US (and other advanced capitalist countries)makes the American dream unachievable for increasing numbers.One would never know that the disparity of wealth in America has rarely been greater from Wasik, or that there was a profound decoupling of wages from productivity and inflation.
Americans may have lived beyond their means, but key moral issue may lie in how those means were determined.Increasing it has taken two incomes in a household to maintain one's socio-economic status. Wasik ulimatately seems to blame what appear to be largely victims of a political economy that shifted the national income toward profits and dividends and away from wages and salaries.
Click Here to see more reviews about: The Cul-de-Sac Syndrome: Turning Around the Unsustainable American Dream (Hardcover)
10/25/2009
Review of Where Keynes Went Wrong: And Why World Governments Keep Creating Inflation, Bubbles, and Busts (Hardcover)
The second section, Why Keynes Was Wrong mirrors the structure of the first section. In the table of contents, the two sections are lined up in vertical columns. For example, a section in the first part called Spend More, Save Less, and Grow Wealthy is lined up against a section in the second part called Spend More, Save Less, and Grow Poorer.
There are several main themes in book. One is that most of Keynes key doctrines are paradoxical. The most well-known example is the paradox of thrift: saving is good for the individual but if everyone tries to save, then it drives the economy downwards into a bust. Another example is "unemployment equilibrium". In each case, Lewis provides simple, logical arguments against Keynes's paradoxes. The book could be characterized as a defense of common sense against obscurantism and muddle-headedness.
Keynes' reliance on paradox brings to mind what philosopher Michael Levin calls "the skim milk fallacy", which he describes as follows: "According to this paradigm, science always shows that things are the reverse of how they seem. Deep scrutiny of virtually any phenomenon will reveal that everyday convictions about it are wrong. In fact, taking things at face value betrays naiveté, while readiness to debunk is the mark of the sophisticate, what David Riesman called an 'inside dopester.'"
Another theme is Keynes' reliance on his own opinion without any supporting facts. Lewis gives many examples of how Keynes moves through a point in his reasoning that cannot be decided on purely theoretical grounds by recourse to pure opinion without any empirical support. Lewis in some cases cites subsequent empirical studies that contradicts Keynes' opinions (and in other cases, Lewis provides a common sense argument against Keynes' opinion). Where some empirical work existed at the time, Keynes would dismiss with no supporting evidence if he needed things to go in the opposite direction in order to arrive at the result he wanted.
This book fills a missing niche in the literature: a debunking of Keynes for the general reader. I believe that this book would also be useful as a supplement in a macro course.But its most important contribution in my view is that it demystifies Keynes. The ideas in The General Theory form the foundation of modern macro-economics, which is the basis for the modern practice of central banking and pretty much all monetary policy around the world. What I mean by the mystification of Keynes is that, because his theories are so long-established and deeply embedded in academic economics, government, and the public consciousness, it is difficult not to think that there must be something really deep and profound there. Upon reading Lewis' book, it is somewhat shocking to see how weak his arguments are and how poorly they stand up to any kind of logical examination.
Click Here to see more reviews about: Where Keynes Went Wrong: And Why World Governments Keep Creating Inflation, Bubbles, and Busts (Hardcover)
10/17/2009
Review of The Housing Boom and Bust (Hardcover)
Click Here to see more reviews about: The Housing Boom and Bust (Hardcover)
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